NBAScopeStatistics • Predictions • Analysis

Houston Rockets at Miami Heat

Monday, November 16, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST

Houston Rockets58%@Miami Heat42%

Win probability

HOU58%
MIA42%
Expected marginHeat -2.1
Elo HOU / MIA1619 / 1490
Fair odds (model)1.71 / 2.40

Frozen on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 15:26:45 GMT with model elo-v2 (home advantage included).

Recent head-to-head

Full history →
2026-03-21MIA 122 – 123 HOURockets won
2026-02-28HOU 105 – 115 MIAHeat won
2025-03-21HOU 102 – 98 MIARockets won
2024-12-29MIA 104 – 100 HOUHeat won
2024-04-05MIA 119 – 104 HOUHeat won
2024-01-08HOU 113 – 120 MIAHeat won
2023-02-10HOU 95 – 97 MIAHeat won
2022-12-15MIA 111 – 108 HOUHeat won