Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST
Detroit Pistons61%@
Miami Heat39%Win probability
DET61%
MIA39%
Expected marginHeat -2.8
Elo DET / MIA1640 / 1490
Fair odds (model)1.63 / 2.58
Frozen on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 15:26:45 GMT with model elo-v2 (home advantage included).
Recent head-to-head
Full history →| 2026-10-23 | DET 128 – 111 MIA | Pistons won |
| 2026-03-08 | DET 110 – 121 MIA | Heat won |
| 2026-01-01 | MIA 118 – 112 DET | Heat won |
| 2025-11-29 | DET 138 – 135 MIA | Pistons won |
| 2025-03-19 | DET 116 – 113 MIA | Pistons won |
| 2024-12-16 | MIA 124 – 125 DET | Pistons won |
| 2024-11-12 | MIA 121 – 123 DET | Pistons won |
| 2024-10-28 | DET 98 – 106 MIA | Heat won |